Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall has
Using the open-source PolicyEngine microsimulation model, we simulated the impact of two potential realisations of this policy:
We then calibrated each potential realisation to reduce benefits by £5 billion by 2029-30.
DWP qualifies people for PIP based on a
Table 1: PIP amounts (2025)
We uprate these elements with inflation, projecting that by 2029, the daily living part will be
The
"We will introduce a new, additional eligibility requirement so that a minimum of 4 points must be scored on one PIP daily living activity to receive the daily living element of the benefit. This means that people who only score the lowest points on each of the PIP daily living activities will lose their entitlement in future."
The reform may affect both non-enhanced and enhanced PIP DL enrollees, so we simulated realisations that remove both non-enhanced only and all PIP DL enrollees. For each realisation, we adjusted the removal share of the affected population to result in £5 billion in reduced benefit payments.
Table 2: Total impacts of PIP DL reforms in 2029
In the realisation that cuts both enhanced and non-enhanced, the reform increases female poverty in greater absolute numbers than male, but the reverse is true for deep poverty.
Table 3: Poverty impacts by gender of PIP DL reforms in 2029
Our model and analysis
nikhil woodruff
PolicyEngine's Co-founder and CTO
max ghenis
PolicyEngine's Co-founder and CEO
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